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Bitcoin ETFs aren’t winning the hearts and minds of financial advisors

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A major thesis around bitcoin ETFs was that financial advisors needed regulated funds like them to direct their wealthy clients to invest in bitcoin.

Almost six months after the launch of those ETFs, there are few signs that advisors are clamoring for the funds. Many remain just as averse to bitcoin now as they were before. That doesn’t mean the ETFs were a failed experiment, however. For one, bitcoin ETFs have been hailed as the most successful ETF launches in history, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) reaching $20 billion in assets under management this week, even with advisors sitting out.

“It’s something I’m researching because I think eventually I will recommend it, I’m just not there yet,” Lee Baker, founder and president of Apex Financial Services in Atlanta, said in an interview. “For myself and other advisors, if we get more of a track record, it increases the likelihood that it ends up in the client portfolios.”

CNBC spoke with a dozen members of CNBC’s Advisor Council, which includes Baker, to learn why so many financial planners are still down on bitcoin and bitcoin ETFs, and what could cause them to change their tune. It comes down to two main things: time in the market and regulatory compliance.

“When [bitcoin] gets more regulated, you will see more adoption,” said Ted Jenkin, founder and CEO of oXYGen Financial in Atlanta. “That being said, even if there isn’t regulation, if over time this can prove to be as stable of an asset as a technology firm would be — because my viewpoint on this is it’s early technology more than it is money — you’ll see more adoption.”

Most of the advisors said they’re neither initiating conversations nor fielding client inquiries about the ETFs – and most don’t have more than one client who has made an allocation to the funds. Of those advisors, some are proactively educating themselves about bitcoin investing, while others — often those with an older, more traditional and conservative client base — are more dismissive.

Some of these advisors work with younger clients who have a greater appetite for risk and a longer investment time horizon. They say that their clients were already interested and educated in crypto exposure before this year, and that the arrival of ETFs hasn’t motivated them to jump in.

Performance review

At 15 years old, bitcoin is in a maturity phase comparable to that of a teenager — it has big potential but still comes with a lot of volatility. Bitcoin is up more than 59% this year, and about 230% from its 2022 low that deepened during the collapse of FTX. In the past three, five and 10 years the cryptocurrency has gained 85%, 704% and 10,854%, respectively. It’s also suffered several 70% drawdowns over the years, which not all investors could stomach.

Many hope consistent flows into bitcoin ETFs over the years can lower that volatility, but for now, it’s still a deterrent for some.

“Financial advisors now have a way to give clients access [to bitcoin] that’s safe, reliable and regulated,” said Bradley Klontz, managing principal of YMW Advisors in Boulder, Colorado. “I love it … that it’s a tool in our toolbox for clients who want it. I just don’t see, right now, most firms recommending it because they’re not recommending any asset class, or any particular asset, that has that much volatility.”

Rianka Dorsainvil, co-founder and co-CEO of 2050 Wealth Partners, said that most of her clients prioritize stability and long-term growth over high-risk opportunities, and that the “relatively early stage of bitcoin ETFs in the financial landscape and the ongoing volatility associated with bitcoin” are primary factors keeping bitcoin ETFs out of her investment strategies.

Cathy Curtis, founder of Curtis Financial Planning in Oakland, California, said that she doesn’t know if bitcoin will ever be a stable asset class but that she would consider adding it to client portfolios if it showed stable returns over at least 15 years.

“If it proved itself to be a true diversifier along equities, for example, maybe,” she said. “The history of that asset has not shown me that.”

Apex Financial’s Baker pointed out that investors have decades of software and tools to show them how a certain percentage of a given bond, ETF or other asset in a portfolio might enhance returns or increase volatility and more.

“As a group, we’re fairly conservative and somewhat risk averse,” Baker said. “We are so accustomed to pulling up charts and [asking] how did this thing perform and through what kinds of markets — it’s almost the way we’re wired.”

With a few more years on the market, investors may be able to do similar modeling with bitcoin, he added, which will help advisors warm to the funds. He also said advisors’ embrace is a matter of when and not if.

“At this juncture … everybody should be convinced that [bitcoin’s] here to stay, [they’re] just not understanding some of the metrics in similar terms to how we can look at and value stocks or bonds,” he said. “We just don’t have that underpinning, and that’s an additional reason why the uptake is slow.”

“My guess would be it will be a slow adoption,” he added. “I wholeheartedly believe we will begin to see an uptick or increase in an advisor use somewhere in the next two to three years.”

Not regulated enough

Even though bitcoin ETFs exist in the U.S. now as a regulated investment vehicle, it still isn’t always clear if or when advisors can recommend them, according to Douglas Boneparth, founder and president of Bone Fide Wealth in New York City.

“A lot of this still has to do with compliance offices and what broker-dealer is going to allow what when it comes to advisors and offering ETFs,” he said. “Just because the ETF came out doesn’t mean the floodgates were open or that the ability for them to allocate to it is easy.”

Jenkin said some broker-dealers have approved the purchase of bitcoin ETFs, but restrict how much of it can be bought, and other firms don’t allow advisors to sell bitcoin ETFs at all.

Some say that’s due to crypto’s notorious reputation for fraud, scandal and crime — a situation that gets cleaned up a little bit more every year but no doubt has left a scar on the industry. More point to the industry’s lack of regulation, which increases the chances of consumer complaints, potential lawsuits against broker-dealers and potentially fines from the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, or FINRA.

“Part of why this still isn’t popular is you’ve got heavy-duty compliance issues within the industry,” Jenkin said. “A lot of firms are very nervous about the communications that financial advisors are having with their clients on digital assets, and none of them want to have violations with FINRA.”

“Most broker-dealers are risk mitigators,” he added. “They want to allow advisors to do things for clients, but they certainly don’t want to have a spotlight shined on them to carry more risk. That’s why you’re seeing there’s such a slow uptake on this.”

Building confidence

Bitcoin and its ETFs need more time in the market to gain trust and adoption by big players like Vanguard, which famously said earlier this year that it doesn’t plan to offer them and won’t shift its stance unless the asset changes to become less speculative.

“That’s coming,” Boneparth said of client confidence. It’ll come with “more time — getting out of the early days into more of the mature days. We’re coming off of years where exchanges have failed – that’s not Bitcoin failing, but it muddies the water [and] people’s trust.”

Until then, the best position advisors can be in is one where they educate their clients, he added.

“Even though bitcoin ETFs fundamentally may present a less risky and more regulated way to invest in digital assets … the association with bitcoin still tends to deter [clients],” Dorsainvil said.

Advisors are likely to be even more deterred by ether ETFs, given the additional complexity of that cryptocurrency’s use cases and functionality. Last week the Securities and Exchange Commission gave U.S. exchanges the green light to list spot ether ETFs, which many investors predict will also have success, but perhaps a fraction of what bitcoin ETFs have enjoyed.

“The ETFs have made it very easy for institutions, from pensions to large funds,” Boneparth said. “That’s really where we’re seeing the bulk of the flows going into these bitcoin ETFs. … It’s still pretty cumbersome at the retail advisor client level.”

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John Cena announces retirement from in-ring competition in 2025, WWE says By Reuters

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© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Apr 1, 2023; inglewood, CA, USA; John Cena during Wrestlemania Night 1 at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports/File Photo

(Reuters) – U.S. wrestling superstar and actor John Cena announced retirement from in-ring competition in 2025, World Wrestling (NYSE:) Entertainment (WWE) said in a post on social media platform X on Saturday.

“John Cena announces retirement from in-ring competition, stating that WrestleMania 41 in Las Vegas will be his last,” WWE said.





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Recession indicator is close to sounding the alarm as unemployment rises

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While unemployment is still historically low, its rate of increase could be a sign of deteriorating economic conditions. That’s where the so-called Sahm Rule comes in.

It says that when the three-month moving average of the jobless rate rises by at least a half-percentage point from its low during the previous 12 months, then a recession has started. This rule would have signaled every recession since 1970.

Based on the latest unemployment figures from the Labor Department’s monthly report on Friday, the gap between the two has expanded to 0.43 in June from 0.37 in May.

It’s now at the highest level since March 2021, when the economy was still recovering from the pandemic-induced crash.

The creator of the rule, Claudia Sahm, was an economist at the Federal Reserve and is now chief economist at New Century Advisors. She has previously explained that even from low levels a rising unemployment rate can set off a negative feedback loop that leads to a recession.

“When workers lose paychecks, they cut back on spending, and as businesses lose customers, they need fewer workers, and so on,” she wrote in a Bloomberg opinion column in November, adding that once this feedback loop starts, it is usually self-reinforcing and accelerates.

But she also said the pandemic may have caused so many disruptions in the economy and the labor market that indicators like the Sahm Rule that are based on unemployment may not be as accurate right now.

A few weeks ago, however, Sahm told CNBC that the Federal Reserve risks sending the economy into a recession by continuing to hold off on rate cuts.

“My baseline is not recession,” she said on June 18. “But it’s a real risk, and I do not understand why the Fed is pushing that risk. I’m not sure what they’re waiting for.”

That came days after the Fed’s June policy meeting when central bankers kept rates steady after holding them at 5.25%-5.5%—the highest since 2001—since July 2023.

The Fed meets again at the end of this month and is expected to remain on hold, but odds are rising that a cut could happen in September.

Sahm also said last month that the Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s stated preference to wait for a deterioration in job gains is a mistake and that policymakers should instead focus on the rate of change in the labor market.

“We’ve gone into recession with all different levels of unemployment,” she explained. “These dynamics feed on themselves. If people lose their jobs, they stop spending, [and] more people lose jobs.”

Meanwhile, Wall Street has had a more sanguine view of the economy, citing last year’s widespread recession predictions that proved wrong as well as the AI boom that’s helping to fuel a wave of investment and earnings growth.

Last month, Neuberger Berman senior portfolio manager Steve Eisman also pointed to the boost in infrastructure spending.

“We’re just powering through, and I think the only conclusion you can reach is that the U.S. economy is more dynamic than it’s ever been in its history,” he told CNBC.

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Joe Biden rejects calls to quit presidential race as clamour grows for his exit

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Joe Biden faced a growing clamour among Democrats to drop out of the 2024 presidential race on the weekend despite stepped-up public appearances aimed at proving he is mentally fit to take on Donald Trump.

Biden has two campaign events in the swing state of Pennsylvania on Sunday after a high-stakes primetime interview on Friday night failed to reassure fellow Democrats panicked by the 81-year-old’s shaky debate performance last week.

“It’s the worst possible outcome,” one veteran Democratic operative told the Financial Times after Biden’s interview aired on ABC News. “Not nearly strong enough to make us feel better, but not weak enough to convince Jill [Biden] to urge him to pull the plug.”

David Axelrod, the architect of Barack Obama’s successful 2008 presidential campaign, warned after the interview that Biden was “dangerously out-of-touch with the concerns people have about his capacities moving forward and his standing in this race”.

The roll call of Democrats calling for Biden to withdraw was joined on Saturday by Angie Craig, a House member from a swing district in Minnesota.

“President Biden is a good man & I appreciate his lifetime of service,” Craig wrote on social media platform X.

“But I believe he should step aside for the next generation of leadership. The stakes are too high.”

NBC News reported that the Democratic leader in the House, Hakeem Jeffries, was set to discuss the president’s candidacy among colleagues on Sunday.

Throughout the roughly 20-minute interview on ABC, Biden rejected opinion polls that show him trailing Trump both nationwide and in the pivotal swing states that will determine the election outcome.

“I don’t think anybody is more qualified to be president or win this race than me,” Biden said.

The president also dodged questions about whether he would be willing to undergo cognitive and neurological testing, at one point replying: “I have a cognitive test every single day, every day I have that test.”

Biden added: “You know, not only am I campaigning, I am running the world . . . for example, today, before I came out here, I am on the phone with the prime minister of, well anyway, I shouldn’t get into the detail, with Netanyahu, I’m on the phone with the new prime minister of England.” The president appeared to be referencing a call he had on Thursday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and another on Friday with new UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer.

In another exchange, Biden appeared to suggest that nobody would be able to convince him to suspend his re-election bid, saying: “If the Lord almighty tells me to, I might do that.”

“It seems that the only person who still believes Biden should still be in the race is Biden,” said one top Democratic donor. Another Democratic donor called the interview “pathetic”, while another said it was “too little, too late”.

Many Democratic lawmakers, party operatives and influential donors have privately called for Biden to suspend his re-election campaign after last week’s debate reignited questions about the president’s age and fitness for office. But more critics have been willing to go public with their concerns in recent days.

Maura Healey, the Democratic governor of Massachusetts, became the first state governor to suggest Biden step aside on Friday. Healey was among governors who met the president for emergency talks at the White House this week.

She issued a statement urging him to “listen to the American people and carefully evaluate whether he remains our best hope to defeat Donald Trump”.

Meanwhile, the Washington Post reported on Friday that Mark Warner, a senator from Virginia, was working to assemble a group of Democratic senators to ask Biden to exit the race. A spokesperson for Warner did not respond to a request for comment.

Earlier on Friday, Biden delivered a defiant speech in Wisconsin, a swing state, telling a crowd of supporters that he would not bow to the mounting pressure on him to quit.

“Let me say this as clearly as I can: I’m staying in the race. I’ll beat Donald Trump.”

Reporters travelling with Biden noted several people standing outside the venue where he spoke in Wisconsin holding signs urging him to “bow out” and “pass the torch”. Another sign read: “Give it up, Joe.”

His campaign on Friday said it would spend another $50mn on advertising in the month of July, including for ad spots that would run during this month’s Republican National Convention and the Olympics.

Biden’s vice-president Kamala Harris, California governor Gavin Newsom and Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer — all seen as possible candidates should Biden step aside — have remained publicly loyal to the president’s campaign. At a July 4 celebration at the White House on Thursday evening, Biden joined hands with his vice-president as some people in the crowd chanted, “four more years”.

But other prominent Democrats are more reluctant to share the stage with the president. When Biden visited Wisconsin on Friday, he was joined by the state’s Democratic governor, Tony Evers — but not Tammy Baldwin, the state’s Democratic senator, who is polling far ahead of the president.

The latest FiveThirtyEight polling average shows Trump leading Biden by just shy of two points in Wisconsin.

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